|
DarylThompson: We are just about ready
- Steve is getting things set up so he can
be on both chat rooms.
DarylThompson: We will be chatting here
and Hotto's Club on TCNet.
guest_wjanks: good afternoon
DarylThompson: The charts will be on TCNet
only. TCNet better if you have access.
guest_Candlestick1: Good evening everybody,
guest_Candlestick1: we will try to make
this short and concise so we all can get
in thew pools
guest_Candlestick1: the market reaction
was not too exciting after the FED cut today.
It was pretty much expected. Now the markets
looking for the next earnings guidance
guest_Candlestick1: The pullback is not
very strong in the Nas or the Russell 2000,
would expect the bottom to occur in the
next day or two
guest_Candlestick1: As we have seen in this
market, even more evident today, the DOW
was weak but the Russell 2000 was strong.
guest_Candlestick1: This is an indication
that the small companies are now getting
looked at because the economy is slowly
getting stable and growing slightly, giving
a stronger basis for the small companies.
guest_Candlestick1: This is usually the
signs of the maturing legs of a bull market,
and it could last for a few years if the
economy growth stays steady.
guest_Candlestick1: So how do we track down
the stocks that are breaking out? This process
is embarrassingly simple.
guest_Candlestick1: Consider what a breakout
represents. Something has happened overnight
that makes a stock or market so much in
demand, that it shows an inordinately clear
signal that the buyers are wanting to be
in.
This can be caused by a general event or
it can be caused by a company generated
event.
guest_Candlestick1: There is no possible
way that anybody, even with a huge research
staff can keep track of all the positive
potential announcements for the multitude
of companies.
guest_Candlestick1: More so, there would
be no way to anticipate when any one of
these companies would be announcing positive
results of some sort.
guest_Candlestick1: Fortunately, today's
software search programs can easily spot
the breakouts. The candlestick signals gives
you an indication of whether the breakout
is going to be sustained.
guest_Candlestick1: The simple sort of the
biggest percentage movers is the best way
to see what was moving on any particular
day. That will tell you that something dramatic
has happened in those stocks that day.
guest_Candlestick1: Using the scan, looking
for stocks that have the biggest percentage
up move and a volume surge will pinpoint
something going on in a stock.
guest_Candlestick1: You may not have had
any idea of what is going on in a company
but it becomes clear that something dramatically
altered the sentiment involved in that stock.
guest_Candlestick1: IPIX is a good example
of a breakout early May
guest_Candlestick1: What is it? You will
easily track that down somewhere in the
news logs. If there isn't anything announced
in the news logs, you can rest assured that
news is going to be announced
guest_Candlestick1: The insiders know what
is going on, look at Martha Stewart. The
people that have the connections to a particular
company will get the word before everybody
else, That is life.
guest_luiso: too may dogi what it means
guest_Candlestick1: Big people in the big
crowd are going to hear things faster, like
all of us here
guest_Candlestick1: Those breakouts are
going to be easy to see. I use all stocks
May want to eliminate all stocks that are
trading less than 200,000 shares that day.
guest_Candlestick1: A lot of big percent
moves you will find moved on 3900 shares,
nothing that you want to play with.
guest_Candlestick1: Do you chase a break
out? Again, remember the definition of a
breakout. It is new massive interest coming
into a stock for some reason.
guest_Candlestick1: A huge majority of the
time , that interest is not going to disappear.
An example I can remember a few years back
was KTEL.
guest_Candlestick1: KTEL has sold records
usually on late night T.V. for the past
two decades. Then they announced that they
were going to sell records over the internet
guest_Candlestick1: The stock had traded
between $5.80 and $6.20 for years. Then
when they made the announcement, this all
happened about 3 to 4 years ago, it moved
from $6 to $12 the next day, a gap up and
a white body.
guest_Candlestick1: It proceeded to go to
$60 in the next three days of trading. The
company had not changed but the perception
of their potential changed dramatically,
signaled by the breakout.
guest_Candlestick1: The best breakout are
those coming off the bottom of the stochastics
or have been trading in a flat range for
the past lengthy time frame.
guest_Candlestick1: A huge day shows new
reasons for buying . The perceptin has become
immensely bullish. That is why AVII is still
a long term good hold.
guest_Life4All: hello, have i missed it
all
guest_Candlestick1: And the large white
candle stands out. It lets you easily see
that a new buying interest has come into
the stock
guest_Candlestick1: That initial breakout
day want to see a large white candle that
has sustained the buying for the day, even
with huge percentage gains for the day.
guest_Candlestick1: A shooting star, if
the percentage move is mega huge does not
mean an immediate deterrent. It means the
profit taking has come in immediately.
guest_Candlestick1: A shooting star formation
wants to be followed by new buying up into
the upper shadow the next day, showing that
the buyers were stepping right back in.
guest_Candlestick1: The effect of the huge
percentage move that first day, if the news
is truly bullish does have a good residue
result. It brings attention to that stock
and promotes the reason for the buying.
guest_fieldcrestcf: .
DarylThompson: We are having technical difficulties,
please stand by.
guest_fieldcrestcf: thxs
guest_Candlestick1: The financial T.V. stations
will report it, the financial newspapers
will write articles about it. For those
of us that are watching the market closely,
minute by minute or daily, has the advantage.
guest_Candlestick1: A stock being scanned
early in the day, or even before the end
of the day, is going to be followed up the
next day or two or three or four when those
that don't follow the market on a daily
basis start to learn of the news that moved
the stock price
guest_Candlestick1: They buy later, hedge
funds, mutual funds, money managers now
research a company that they were not aware
of before. It takes days and weeks for the
result of that positive occurrence to fully
effect the stock.
guest_Candlestick1: Who benefits from a
world event? I sure do not know, but those
that have researched specific companies
and segments of the market will know exactly
how a specific event will make a stock react.
guest_Candlestick1: 911 what stocks did
it hurt the most, but more importantly,
what stocks would benefit from that tragedy?
Most of us could have sat and thought most
of the day before we figured out what stocks
to jump into.
crichter(ChuckR): Thanks for TCNet, big
lag time in the forum
guest_Candlestick1: But going to the scans,
finding which stocks were moving the biggest
percentage would have been a clear signal
as to which stocks would be benefited.
guest_Candlestick1: As seen in the INVN
chart, that stock reacted that day September
11. It was up big. We learned about their
product by seeing the big move up, then
having CNBC show it and explaining what
their products do.
guest_ed: hello to everyone
cardwell: Daryl, after this session is over,
please clear up some questions for me. One:a
statement comes on from guest Candlestick
1 and I assume that to be Mr. Bigalow ?
and then that 3 or 4 lines stays on the
screen for several minutes or what seems
to me ,
guest_Candlestick1: As seen in the INVN
chart, that stock reacted that day September
11. It was up big. We learned about their
product by seeing the big move up, then
having CNBC show it and explaining what
their products do.
guest_Candlestick1: That gave it the PR
that made it a wanted stock for the next
few weeks and months.
guest_Candlestick1: The break out is going
be a large white candle or a gap up. Both
illustrate the same thing. Should you chase
it? It may back off some that day and the
next day, but it will have gotten the attention
of investors.
guest_Candlestick1: A stock up 25% in one
day, I sure want to find out why. A money
manager, I will want to research what this
companies product and services do that makes
it a big move yesterday, or last week.
guest_Candlestick1: Who is going to benefit
from well fires in Iraq? WEL came to the
forefront because it kicked up 75% one day.
guest_Candlestick1: Did ISPH have a product
that could be getting approved? The October
breakout says that it has something that
made a $3 STOCK GO TO $15 IN 5 MONTHS
guest_Candlestick1: VRA most have had something
that made an 11 cent stock go to 66 cents
in one day. Do I look for 20 cent stocks?
No but if there is something that is going
to move this stock to 60 cents again,
guest_Candlestick1: or to $1.20 or $4.00,
the breakout day tells me something big
is in this company's bag of tricks, I will
let the candlestick signals show me when
new buying is coming in.
guest_Candlestick1: As you can see , this
is not rocket science. This is witnessing
massive new buying coming into a stock and
then I want the candlesticks to tell me
when and how much the buying is going to
continue.
guest_Candlestick1: I will be more tolerant
of pullbacks, because it is now more out
of the realm of trending and pulling back
versus quick profit taking.
guest_Candlestick1: A company that has a
cure for cancer and could have the biggest
potential in the world is still going to
have traders that are happy with a 20%,
40% , 100% profit is hard to pass up, even
though that stock could still go up another
5000%.
guest_Candlestick1: As you will notice,
the big percentage moves usually come from
the lower priced stocks. Companies that
may have been working on developing a new
product.
guest_Candlestick1: They now hit the market
, coming out of the negative earnings now
have a much better future.
guest_Candlestick1: To review ,very simple,
use all stocks, you may want to scan them
by all stocks that traded more than 200,000
shares today, and have had the biggest percent
moves.
guest_Candlestick1: These scans can be run
as early as the software programs have updated
info. TCNET sometimes will not have the
percent movers until a good while after
the market opens.
guest_Candlestick1:If the big move is co
ming off a bottom or a flat trading range
, look to see what is breaking that stock
out, and do not be afraid to get in it
guest_Candlestick1:
sorry for the technical lock up
DarylThompson:Sorry for the technical difficulties,
looks like the website bogged down for awhile.
If y'all are still out there, send me any
questions you have and I will forward them
to Steve. Thanks.
guest_wjanks: thanks you
guest_wjanks:have a good evening
DarylThompson: Question:Do you update TC
Net 20 minutes after the open to scan for
these stocks?
guest_jkb: any thoughts on ENMD? thank you
guest_Candlestick1: yes or as fast as their
updates occur
DarylThompson: Any thoughts on either WFMI
or INGN both had Bull Engulfing pattern
yesterday?
guest_Candlestick1: WFMI good chart
guest_Candlestick1: INGN good also but want
to see strength immediately tomnorrow
DarylThompson: Is it good to use buy stops
and sell when the stock drops about .10
cents?
guest_Candlestick1: I only use stops on
the initial buy day or when it has moved
up to the overbought area
DarylThompson: Any thoughts on ENMD?
guest_Candlestick1: doji today, look for
move up in the next day or so
DarylThompson: Your PCF formulas work well
I only hope I can learn to make the proper
interpretation. Thanks
DarylThompson: Question:I got stopped out
several times recently. Is it necessary
to put a stop order, or just watch closely???
Thanx
guest_Candlestick1: if you are able to watch,
use an area that looks like the sellers
are still in control, if you can't watch
all day, use a stop, but do not be afraid
to take three 4% losses before getting in
the fourth time for a 35% gain
DarylThompson: Stephen spoke a lot about
stocks that went up strong on large volume
- some event caused this that will eventually
be known. What is his feeling about stocks,
e.g. SIRI, that doesn't move greatly but
whose volume spikes up and stays there?
guest_tom175: jsiri
guest_Candlestick1: big volume on a small
body day is a good sign that the spring
is coiling
DarylThompson: I shorted SHRP Yesterday,
what do you think?
guest_Candlestick1: a doji yesterday would
have had me out immediately on a positve
open today
DarylThompson: Question:my internet connection
broke so I missed a big chunk of the chat.
Pls review for me:you scan for the breakouts
after the mkt has been trading for a while
and enter during the day?
guest_Candlestick1: see that is one of the
few times that I will buy during the middle
of the day is seeing a breakout move and
big volume going with it
DarylThompson: Question:do you ever buy
at the end of the day if the stock is showing
a strong bullish signal and the index and
sector look good also
guest_Candlestick1: yes usually in the last
20 minutes of the day
guest_harry: what does a "brakout move"
look like
guest_hulk: have a good evening...
DarylThompson: Thanks again. And sorry for
the technical difficulties. We hope you
got enough benefit to overcome those.
DarylThompson: We are testing new chat room
and Forum software for more robust solutions.
And to avoid these types of issues.
DarylThompson: Steve and I need to make
a meeting at 7:00. We will have this chat
posted to the site in a few minutes, barring
any other technical difficulties!
DarylThompson: Good night, everyone!
Stock Chat Archives
April
21, 2004 | April
14, 2004 | July
6, 2003 | June
29, 2003
June
25, 2003 | June
22, 2003 | June
18, 2003 | May
18, 2003 | May
4, 2003
April
23, 2003 | April
20, 2003 | April
16, 2003 | April
13, 2003 | April
9, 2003
April
6, 2003 | April
5, 2003 | April
2, 2003 | March
30, 2003 | March
26, 2003
|