March 9, 2007
Stock Market Trends
Ever watch that base-stealing threat in a baseball game? He’s on first; he leads off….a little bit more, a little bit more, daring the pitcher to try and get him. The pitcher even throws to first in a vain attempt to snag him. Finally, the runner sees what he’s looking for and he takes off for second; the catcher doesn’t even stand a chance to get him out. The guy is fast, but more importantly, he sees something while studying the pitcher that tells him exactly what is going to happen. Sure it works in baseball, but how does this apply to the stock market?
Stock Market Trends – Getting the Jump on the Market
The base runner was looking for indications of the direction the pitcher was going; the stock market will give you hints to its direction as well. If you understand stock market trends before they happen, you already have two of the three key factors for understanding the market, time and direction. Coupled with volatility, a successful trader has the basic stock information needed to “take second” and make a profit in the market.
Eliminating the analogy, understanding stock market trends is also about looking for indications. How well could you adjust your investment timing in the stock market if you knew three days in advance what was going to happen? What if you only knew one day in advance? Could you improve your investment success? Of course you could.
Variables Involved in Knowing Stock Market Trends
There are a couple of pieces of information that will help you determine the direction of the market. These two gems are price and volume; each of these tells you something different about the market and together they can give you insight into stock market trends.
- Price – This is somewhat intuitive. Prices will rise until they reach their market value and then they will fall until the market value readjusts. A good way to determine price is to look to the three major market indexes, the Dow, the S&P 500 and the NASDAQ to provide a quantitative evaluation of price. It is also possible to calculate an average price per share based on overall sales divided by the number of available shares on the market. Because stock market trends are cyclic and so are stock prices, this variable is quite logical.
- Volume – Volume is also a typically reported value and an important part of calculating stock market trends. On more active days volume will rise and on slower days the volume will reflect it with a decrease. Volume is a factor in stock market trends because increases in stock volatility tend to indicate changes in direction.
Put together, price and volume make an excellent combination for determining stock market trends. If the market has a high-volume day and prices are up, you are likely seeing stock market movers like mutual funds and institutional investors buying, which is a sign of an upward stock market trend. On the other hand, a high-volume day with lower prices could mean a downward trend with the big players backing out of the market. It is important to use some common sense when watching these indicators. For example, if you have three or four days of high volume and rising prices, it is not unusual to hit a high-volume day where the prices fall off. You’ll usually hear the talking heads on television refer to this as “profit taking.” Stock market trends are the cumulative movements of days or even weeks, so be patient and watch the prices and volumes.
Another Way to Find Stock Market Trends
Would you like another method for understanding stock market trends? This is the one that can give you an idea of the direction in advance of its actual occurrence. Japanese Candlesticks is a powerful stock charting system that can help you not only when charting a stock but it can help you to understand the overall direction of the market as well. This amazing system has been in use for over three hundred years and is perfect at reading stock market trends and analyzing directions using time-perfected charting methods. Japanese Candlestick stock trading can literally give a trader a three-day head start over someone using ordinary bar charting to track the stock market. In a time when knowledge is power, you have the power to read the signs and “steal second” against the stock market!
Online Stock Market Reviews presented live via the internet by Stephen Bigalow |
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