Trading Commodities - Is It For You?
As with every other type of investing, trading commodities forces the investor to understand the relationship between knowledge and success. There is an old saying that if you completely understand a problem it is nearly solved; this is very true when you are trading commodities. While it is true there are many people that succeed at commodities trading, the typical investor will lose money. Most investors do not accomplish the things necessary to be successful and failure is the only other option. Your investing is a business that requires training, experience and plenty of digging through facts and information, things that occur in most successful businesses.
The Potential of Trading Commodities
Trading commodities has is viewed by some as being much riskier than investing in the stock market. While there is risk, the truth is an investor can raise or lower that level of risk. If your approach to your trades is conservative, you accept reasonable returns and you take the approach that this is a business, then the probability of success in commodity trading rises dramatically.
Trading commodities has its risks but the rewards can be very nice as well. One example of rewards in commodity trading is a man who is said to have borrowed less than $2,000 and amassed a $200 million fortune in ten years. While these results are extraordinary and not everyone can expect the level of successful trading he achieved, it is possible for you to make money trading commodities.
What is Involved When Trading Commodities?
Trading commodities is unlike investing in the stock market or bonds. When you are trading commodities, you don’t actually own anything. You are speculating on the future direction of the price for the commodity you are trading. The terms "buy" and "sell" merely suggest the direction you think future prices will take.
Trading commodities allows those who are involved with a particular commodity to lock in the price to avoid devastating changes later. A drilling company may sell oil futures if it believes that crude oil prices are going to fall in the future; in turn a refinery might buy futures if prices appear ready to rise. No matter which direction the prices move after that, both the drilling company and the refinery are guaranteed their price. The investor is the one who looks for changes in the commodities markets and attempts to gain advantages by buying or selling for a profit.
Is Substantial Risk Unavoidable Trading Commodities?
There is a potential of tremendous risk when trading commodities but reducing that risk can be easier than you may think. Some of the things that can be done when investing in the futures markets to limit risk include:
- Being Conservative - Deciding to follow a conservative approach can limit your risk; avoiding greed and fear can go a long way to improving your chances for success. Those who follow an aggressive trading pattern expose themselves to much higher risk.
- Doing Your Research – Knowing your commodity and the conditions that move it will help you to avoid changes that put your positions in danger.
- Learning Techniques for Avoiding Loss – There are techniques you can use to help minimize loss. For example, instead of accepting a loss by taking or making a delivery, an investor can offset the position before the delivery date. If the commodity eventually makes the right move, the investor has improved his or her position.
- Having a Trading System – Using a system like Japanese Candlesticks to track commodities and predict their future movements is not only a conservative move but a profitable one as well. Candlesticks originated in the commodities markets in Japan hundreds of years ago and it is perfect for trading commodities today.
Conclusion
While not everyone will want to start trading commodities; it is still potentially very profitable. The danger is that the risks can be limitless to an uninformed, undisciplined investor. The good news is that if you create a set of solid trading rules and educate yourself on the markets and techniques required, trading commodities can be a very rewarding and exciting adventure.
Market Direction: The reason candlestick signals have remained in existence for the past 300 years is because they work. The signals incorporate relevant elements of investor sentiment. The Japanese Rice traders identified the price movements that demonstrated highly profitable trade potentials. That is the simple basis of candlestick analysis. What is investor sentiment doing? Each signal occurring in the proper condition of a trend provides information well ahead of other technical trading methods. It illustrates what investor sentiment is doing NOW.
The engulfing signal's, the bullish and the bearish engulfing signal, demonstrates a very clear change of a trend. A Bullish Engulfing signal in the oversold condition provides a high probability result. The same is true when witnessing Bearish Engulfing signal's in the overbought condition. This is as basic an analytical tool as one could want to implement.
The ELNK chart clearly demonstrates when the buying was starting. Bullish Engulfing signal's, with the stochastics near the oversold conditions, become a clear indication of which direction investor sentiment is moving prices. Visual analysis is the simplest of all analytical methods. It does not require formulas. It does not require intuitive feeling of future price moves. It merely identifies what is happening between the Bulls and the Bears.
ELNK

A Bullish Engulfing signal should have an expected result. Continued buying and the start of an uptrend! A Bearish Engulfing signal reveals the same sentiment coming from the sellers. The Bulls are stepping out of the way and the Bears are taking control. Utilizing the information from the candlestick signals is enhanced when knowing when a top or a bottom of a trend is getting near.
Lean Hogs

Gap-ups at the top reveal the exuberant buying, start watching for sell signals. Gap-downs in the oversold condition become the preparation for watching for a candlestick buy signal. Candlestick analysis is merely the common sense investment practices put into a graphic depiction. Using this information will dramatically improve your probabilities of being in or out of positions at the correct times.
The Dow has been moving consistently upward. This creates concern in most investors that there needs to be a correction after such a long sustained uptrend. However, the analysis of the other markets, the NASDAQ, the S&P 500, and the Russell 2000 produce another evaluation. The pullbacks during the uptrend are healthy. That allows for profit taking to occur. As we saw in the uptrend from August until February, the uptrend remained healthy with profit taking occurring that whole time. The current trajectory of the market is stronger than the uptrend of last year, but there is still good profit taking occurring. As long as the indexes remain above the Tee line, the uptrend will continue.
Nas

Chat session tonight at 8 p.m. ET will concentrate on how to use gaps effectively with candlestick signals.
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