How To Prosper In An Unstable Market
Over the past five years of unstable markets, investors have learned some valuable lessons; some of these lessons were pleasant, some of them painful. After such a long period of stock volatility, media frenzy and other hysterics, investors should understand some things about unstable markets better.
Panic trading – Very little is ever accomplished when spurred on by greed and fear; both can be deadly to a portfolio, but this is especially true of fear. If you have followed a trading plan up to this point, don’t abandon it now. If you are following your plan, you will have diversified your investments, created stop loss strategies and done sufficient research to stay confident with your investment, even in an unstable market.
Establishing an investment level – Remember in an unstable market (or even in a stable one) that the money you invest is called “risk premium”. It is called that because it is the cost of doing business (or the premium) in the stock market; you are risking this money in hopes of making much more. Before making a single trade, you should decide how much to invest based on the idea of how much you can afford to lose.
Understand the market’s rise and fall – You won’t always be able to figure out why an unstable market moves like it does. Even those investors who make money investing in stock realize that the market can do crazy things. The recent fall in the China stock market happened with good reason; the market was up over 100 percent from the year before and speculation was at a fever pitch. In spite of this, there was no reason for the very best stocks on the Dow and S&P 500 to fall as well. This was simply a case of panic selling. If you are doing your fundamental analysis and stock charting, you will know if an unstable market is looking at a significant downturn and you can make wise decisions.
Know when to sell – Or maybe when NOT to sell. See an unstable market heading into a rough period? If you are confident with your fundamental and technical analysis you don’t need the cash in your hands, don’t sell. In fact, if you find some undervalued stocks in the process, maybe you should consider buying. While the economy of scale if vastly different, ask yourself if Warren Buffet is selling. If you’re not overextended, you might have the opportunity to pick up good stocks at value prices.
Suppose the downturn in this unstable market leads to a recession. In spite of Alan Greenspan’s recent comments, this is not a likely event anytime soon but for the sake of argument, let’s suppose there is one. In the past two decades, recessions have tended to be very short term in nature. As the economy moves toward a recession, the stock prices fall and this unstable market creates the opportunity to make some of your best stock picks. The simple cliché “buy low, sell high” actually has some truth to it; it is difficult to make much money when a bull market is pushing up prices.
Know where to get your information
It’s always reaffirming when the analyst on TV agrees with your theory about an unstable market but what does it buy you? If that $75,000 per year talking head were such an amazing expert on stock market advice, he would be making $250,000 per year as the lead investor from some brokerage house. It doesn’t take a crystal ball, just sticking with good, solid technical analysis and steady stock charting will give you far more solid information and a better sense of direction in an unstable market than someone on TV.
Diversify your portfolio
A healthy indicator of your stock holdings in an unstable market is if you have a diversified stock portfolio. If you hold equal investments in twenty different stocks and one goes under, what do you have? You would have a portfolio that is worth 95 percent of the original. Portfolio diversification prevents widespread destruction in your portfolio, even when the market is unstable.
Conclusion
An unstable market can still be a source of great wealth, if the investor is wise and sticks to his or her plan. Unstable markets move in a way that creates opportunities for smart investors. The key is to stay within your stock trading plan. Unstable markets can be a great source of income if you take the time to find the winners.
Market Direction: What stocks can be bought in a down trending market? The ability to analyze candlestick signals and patterns make that analysis very easy. Should investors be buying 'long' when the market is heading down? Not during freefall markets! However, when using candlestick signals, an investor can analyze the scope of the selling in a downtrend. Indecisive trading days, interspersed in the downtrend reveals that there isn't panic-selling; where they're throwing the baby out with the bathwater. This type of down trending market will still produce many good buy situations. Obviously they will not be as numerous as in a bullish trending market. Candlestick signals and candlestick patterns reveal which stocks/sectors are still receiving buying despite the fact the market in general is heading lower.
A major advantage of applying candlestick signals to profitable patterns has multiple benefits. The patterns reveal a build up of investor bullish sentiment. Although the markets in general may be getting weaker, the buildup in a particular stock, the creation of a recognized pattern, will illustrate where buyers are placing their funds. Logic illustrates that if a pattern is confirming while the market in general is heading down, that is additional reason to be joining the Bulls in that price, something is happening. The patterns are recognized because of a reoccurring result that occurs in repetitive investor thinking. Use that information to your advantage.
As illustrated in our recent newsletters, IAAC is coming out of a fry pan bottom pattern.
IAAC

DVSA was recently recommended after the indecisive trading with stochastics in the oversold area. Bullish candles reveal the buyers stepping into the stock in spite of the markets selling off over the past few days.
DVSA

If the market is heading lower, logic dictates that short positions should be a predominate positioning of a portfolio. Shorting stock is not a popular or often understood investment process. Fortunately, the information conveyed in candlestick signals reveal those small numbers of positions that are demonstrating bullish signals in bearish market conditions. Scanning for bullish signals is a very simple process. The simple scanning procedures will find bullish trades even in the worst of markets conditions. Even for those investors that do not want to short positions, there will always be a source of bullish potentials.
The visual elements of candlestick signals make analyzing market direction is much easier. When markets are overbought or oversold, and a candlestick signal appears, results can be projected with a fairly high degree of accuracy. When markets are in an uncertain area, utilizing the candlestick signals allows an investor to react to what is occurring in the market. This is different than trying to evaluate where the market is heading. The use of candlestick signals allows an investor to see what a trend is doing based. This analysis uses a graphic depiction of investor sentiment at obvious technical levels.
DOW

The Bullish Harami needs bullish confirmation to stop the downtrend. If that occurs, a J-hook pattern should be occurring. A weaker open and selling off tomorrow would not confirm the Bullish harami, the 50 day moving average failure would still be in effect.
Houston candlestick training seminar - April 14 and 15th - Candlestick analysis incorporates very simple processes. The signals are graphic depictions of commonsense investment practices. Have you ever bought a stock and it immediately went down after you bought it? Candlestick signals dramatically reduce that probability. Do you have difficulties in taking profits for fear that you are selling out too soon? Candlestick signals provide a clear logical procedure for taking profits at the correct times. The two-day training seminar in Houston will reveal how to use the information incorporated into candlestick signals that have been used correctly to make huge fortunes for the Japanese Rice traders. This training will provide insights that you will be able to use for the rest of your life. This is not learning how to apply a newly discovered trading program. This training demonstrates the use of high probability signals for maximizing profits and understanding any market conditions. Do not miss this opportunity to learn investment technique that most investors never get exposed to. Many investors make enough profits to pay for this training session many times over in just the first week of investing. What do you have to lose? Learn how to limit your losses and identify the big potential gainers.
The Houston Candlestick Analysis Technician Seminar is almost here!
From now through April 6, 2007 attend for $1,195.
That's a savings of $705.
Book now before remaining seats are sold out.
Click here for more information about the 2-Day CAT Seminar
Some of the KEY topics covered
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Understanding and profiting from the 12 Major Candlestick Signals
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Technical analysis chart construction
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Identifying FALSE Signals
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Targeting support and resistance
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Price Patterns
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Gap Trading
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Evaluating charts in multiple time frames for day trading to long term investing
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Placing stop losses
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Evaluating Risk/Reward ratios
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Combining Candlesticks with other Technical Analysis
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Introduction to Advanced Candlestick Patterns
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Bonus presentation by Rick Saddler, a former student who has gone on to successfully trade full time. He will share his story with you and even better, he will show you one of his favorite trade setups that puts money in his pocket. (Rick is also our Moderator in the Members Trading Room.)

