Small Cap Stocks - Are The Rewards Worth The Risks?
For anyone that remembers the old days of television cartoons, the image flashed through your mind when you read the title. Wile E. Coyote is running along, looking for his supper, when he is blown off the road by the speedy Road Runner. It is hard to imagine turning that analogy into a discussion of the stock market, but that’s exactly what we are going to do.
Small-capitalization companies, also known as small-cap stocks, are the stock market's version of the Road Runner. While there are small-cap stocks that are in stock sectors that make them slower than large-caps, these companies generally are the ones that usually make Wall Street news for their explosive earnings that create double-digit returns for their investors.
Where are the little guys and are they big spenders?
There are several market indexes that track small-cap stocks, most notably the Russell 2000 and the Standard & Poor’s 600. While you can search for small-cap stocks on these indexes, the general rule is that a company is considered a small-cap stock if its market value is below $1 billion.
As a rule, small-cap stocks represent companies with similarly small revenues. Typically these are companies that are just starting out or they are in a position to expand their markets. For example, in 2004 the hamburger restaurant Red Robin experienced a 100% increase in both its stock price and its market value, the latter climbing to $780 million. Because it was small, the company was able to grow much faster than its large-cap cousin, McDonalds, which “only” saw a 27% increase. It remains to be seen what Red Robin will do in the future, but performance like their 2004 results would be an incredible asset to your stock portfolio.
Are small-cap stocks worth the pain?
Now we will have a quick stock market lesson; one of the basic stock investing concepts is that where there is great reward, there will likely be great risk accompanying it. This is true of small-cap stocks. The companies can rapidly climb the ladder of success but they can also fall off of it and take the investor with them. Small-cap stocks experience much more stock volatility than their large-cap cousins and because of this, they are far more risky.
In addition, small-cap stocks tend to suffer more during economic hard times than large or mid-caps because as investors sense a downturn in the market, they tend to rely on the blue-chips, or large-caps, to weather the difficult times. This alone makes them less appealing to those who are long term investing.
And now for the good news!
There is a positive spin to the risk of small-cap stocks. Unless you are only looking for long-term investments, small-caps can be a valuable part of your portfolio diversification. While you should follow your trading plan and use a stock trading system like Japanese Candlesticks, if you add small-cap stocks as one portion of your portfolio, you can enjoy their rapid growth and profitability without losing everything on one bad investment.
In addition, young investors who have time to be more aggressive with their savings should find small-cap stocks to be an excellent way to increase the value of their portfolio. It is still important to emphasize the need for fundamental and technical analysis even in the early days of investing. Why lose a small fortune in the beginning when you don’t need to? With due diligence, everyone can benefit from out-running Wile E. Coyote with small-cap stocks!
Market Direction: "Let the market tell you what the market is going to do!" Japanese Rice traders profess that statement. The reason they can do that is based upon the information built into candlestick signals. What will a trend do? Where will a price move to? These questions become a lot easier to answer with the knowledge of what each candlestick signal represents. Why has this uptrend in the Dow been so easy to analyze for the past six months? Because the information conveyed by signals at the top and the bottom of the trend channel is easy to visually interpret. No matter what the so-called professional analysts project, candlestick analysis gives a much more clear indication of what investor sentiment is doing now.
DOW

Whether trading on a one minute chart on the Dow or analyzing the monthly charts, candlestick signals make the evaluation of projected targets much easier to identify. Investor sentiment produces reoccurring patterns. The candlestick signals better identify those patterns. Identifying where a price could potentially move, coming out of a pattern, is valuable information. It helps identify which trades are worth entering. If a candlestick pattern is setting up, certain results are expected. As illustrated in the ABBI chart, the identification of a Scoop pattern made for a high probability trade. The question would be "If this trade works successfully, what are the potential price targets?"
ABBI

If we know what to expect coming out of a Scoop pattern, a strong uptrend, then where could that uptrend move to? In the case of ABBI, the 50 day moving average becomes the first likely target. However, the expectation of a successful scoop pattern is for a strong sustained uptrend. The 50 day moving average might be the first consolidation area. A gap up in price through that area creates new target considerations. These new targets become the next obvious levels that technical investors would be watching. This is not a difficult process to master as outlined in our newest tutorial release, Projecting Price Targets. Click here for more details.
GGR

GGR produces another example of a Scoop Pattern potential. Once again, the first potential resistance/target was the 50 day moving average. One the price breaches that level, with good strength left in the stochastics, the profits can continue. Investors able to analyze potential price targets incorporate candlestick signals to see if any weakness is revealed before reaching that target.There are distinct potential price targets in most trades. Specific technical indicators act as magnets. This can be very easily explained. What is the level that anybody looking at that chart would expect to be the next resistance level? That is going to be a known level easily identified by technical traders with all levels of experience. It could be a trend line, moving average, Fibonacci number, or any other level that becomes an obvious area that technical investors would be watching.
April Training session - An integral part of using candlestick signals correctly is not only knowing when to buy, but also knowing when to sell. The April candlestick training session will include applying target projections for deciding which trades have the best upside profits. These projected targets also become high probability sell points. The information conveyed in candlestick signals takes a lot of the emotion out of buy and sell decisions. Do not miss the opportunity to join others in the candlestick investment community in learning valuable insights for successful investing. Please register now, the seats are limited. Why settle for mediocre investment returns when a few hours of concentrated common sense investment practices can be yours. You will gain benefits that can produce huge profits from your own knowledge base for the rest your life. Take advantage of this opportunity. Sign up today! Click here for details and full brochure for the 2-day Candlestick Analysis Seminar.
Mr. Bigalow will be a guest on the Vince Rowe Radio Showe this Thursday March 1, 2007. He will be on from 11:00am CST to 12noon on 1320 AM Houston and 1360 AM Dallas. Anyone can contact Cindy Mills for the link to the Webex portion of the show or should they have any questions at all please have them call. . .
888-OTA-ATTEnd (682-2883) ext 108 Toll Free
cmills@tradingacademy.com
Good investing,
The Candlestick Forum Team
Chat session tonight at 8PM ET for members
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Stephen Bigalow releases his latest training video - Projecting Price Targets - Click here for Introductory Special

